North Carolina Profile
Key Figures:
- 13 Seats: 6R, 7D
- While North Carolina Republicans won a majority of the popular vote in 2010, they remain a minority in the House
|
Democracy Index |
17th (22.6) |
Representation |
34th (24.2) |
|
|
Margin of Victory |
17th (23.9) |
Seats-to-Votes |
14th (8.3) |
|
|
Landslide Index |
14th (46.2) |
House Turnout |
34th (39.4) |
|
|
1992 |
1994 |
1996 |
1998 |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
|
Democracy Index |
-- |
-- |
25.0 |
21.6 |
21.7 |
23.8 |
21.4 |
29.2 |
16.8 |
22.6 |
|
Voter Turnout |
50% |
30% |
46% |
33% |
48% |
36% |
57% |
31.4% |
64.3% |
39.4% |
|
Representation Index |
31% |
18% |
28% |
22% |
32% |
24% |
36% |
20.4% |
41.3% |
24.2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wasted Votes |
39% |
39% |
38% |
34% |
34% |
33% |
36% |
35.2% |
35.8% |
38.6% |
|
% Of Wasted R / D Votes |
51/26 |
21/63 |
36/39 |
28/37 |
28/36 |
29/34 |
40/31 |
38/33 |
46/26.8 |
42.9/32.6 |
|
Drop-Off Voters |
3.1% |
NA |
0.1% |
5.4% |
4.6% |
3.7% |
2.5% |
0.0% |
2.2% |
-0.1% |
|
Avg Margin of Victory |
24% |
24% |
25% |
35% |
37% |
36% |
29% |
32.9% |
29.1% |
23.9% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Votes for (R-D-O%) |
48-51-2 |
57-43-0 |
53-45-2 |
53-43-3 |
54-43-3 |
54-43-3 |
51-49-0 |
47-53-0 |
45.1-54.4-0.5 |
54.1-45.2-0.6 |
|
Seats for (R-D-O%) |
33-67-0 |
67-33-0 |
50-50-0 |
58-42-0 |
58-42-0 |
54-46-0 |
54-46-0 |
46-54-0 |
38.5-61.5-0 |
46.2-53.8-0 |
|
Seat Changes |
-- |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Election Results and Analysis: 2002-2010
Results 2002-2010 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 U.S. House (R-D-O) 7-6-0 7-6-0 6-7-0 5-8-0 6-7-0 Landslide Index 76.9% 69% 76.9% 76.9% 46.2% Tight: < 5 0 0 1 0 1 Competitive: 5-10 1 1 1 0 3 Opportunity: 10-20 2 3 1 3 3 Landslide: 20-40 5 5 7 8 3 No Contest: 40+ 3 4 2 2 3 Uncontested 2 0 1 0 0 Total Running / Total Seats 11/13 11/13 13/13 13/13 13/13 Re-Election / Total Incumbent 11/11 11/11 12/13 12/13 12/13 Landslide / Total Incumbent 9/11 8/11 10/13 10/13 6/13 R. Landslide / R. Incumbent 6/7 3/5 4/6 3/5 5/5 D. Landslide / D. Incumbent 3/4 5/6 6/6 7/7 1/7 Untouchable Repeat Landslide 5 7 8 8 4 Uncontested Primary 10 -- -- 9 -- Elected Women 1 2 2 2 3 Elected Racial Minorities 2B 2B 2B 2B 2B
Scale of Competitiveness
Incumbents
Election Results and Analysis: 1992-2000
|
Results 1992-2000 |
1992 |
1994 |
1996 |
1998 |
2000 |
|
U.S. House (R-D-O) |
4-8-0 |
8-4-0 |
6-6-0 |
7-5-0 |
7-5-0 |
|
Landslide Index |
58% |
50% |
58% |
58% |
75% |
Scale of Competitiveness |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tight: < 5 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
|
Competitive: 5-10 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
|
Opportunity: 10-20 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
|
Landslide: 20-40 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
7 |
|
No Contest: 40+ |
2 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
|
Uncontested |
0 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
Incumbents |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Running / Total Seats |
10/12 |
9/12 |
11/12 |
11/12 |
12/12 |
|
Re-Election / Total Incumbent |
10/10 |
7/9 |
9/11 |
11/11 |
12/12 |
|
Landslide / Total Incumbent |
5/10 |
5/9 |
7/11 |
7/11 |
9/12 |
|
R. Landslide / R. Incumbent |
3/4 |
3/3 |
5/7 |
5/6 |
6/7 |
|
D. Landslide / D. Incumbent |
2/6 |
2/6 |
2/4 |
2/5 |
3/5 |
|
Untouchable Repeat Landslide |
2 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
|
Uncontested Primary |
4 |
6 |
11 |
8 |
10 |
|
Elected Women |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
|
Elected Racial Minorities |
2B |
2B |
2B |
2B |
2B |
Election Results and Analysis: 1982-1990
|
Results 1982-1992 |
1982 |
1984 |
1986 |
1988 |
1990 |
|
U.S. House (R-D-O) |
2-9-0 |
5-6-0 |
3-8-0 |
3-8-0 |
4-7-0 |
|
Landslide Index |
54% |
36% |
36% |
64% |
55% |
Scale of Competitiveness |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tight: < 5 |
2 |
6 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
|
Competitive: 5-10 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
|
Opportunity: 10-20 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
|
Landslide: 20-40 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
5 |
5 |
|
No Contest: 40+ |
3 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
|
Uncontested |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
Incumbents |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Running / Total Seats |
10/11 |
10/11 |
10/11 |
11/11 |
11/11 |
|
Re-Election / Total Incumbent |
8/10 |
7/10 |
8/10 |
11/11 |
10/11 |
|
Landslide / Total Incumbent |
5/10 |
4/10 |
3/10 |
7/11 |
6/11 |
|
R. Landslide / R. Incumbent |
1/4 |
1/1 |
0/3 |
3/3 |
3/3 |
|
D. Landslide / D. Incumbent |
4/6 |
3/9 |
3/7 |
4/8 |
3/8 |
|
Untouchable Repeat Landslide |
4 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
|
Uncontested Primary |
4 |
4 |
7 |
11 |
7 |
|
Elected Women |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Elected Racial Minorities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |