New Jersey Profile
Key Figures:
- 13 Seats: 6R, 7D
- In 2010, New Jersey Republicans earned a majority of the popular vote but remain a minority in the House
New Jersey Rankings 2010
|
Democracy Index |
36th (29.8) |
Representation |
39th (22.8) |
|
|
Margin of Victory |
31st (30.3) |
Seats-to-Votes |
6th (4.6) |
|
|
Landslide Index |
34th (69.2) |
House Turnout |
43rd (36.5) |
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
Democracy Index
--
--
25.7
27.4
22.6
29.6
20.8
25.6
25.2
29.8
Voter Turnout
50%
34%
47%
30%
48%
31%
57%
38.1%
58.8%
36.5%
Representation Index
31%
22%
30%
19%
31%
21%
38%
25.6%
37.9%
22.8%
Wasted Votes
38%
34%
36%
36%
35%
31%
33%
33.1%
35.6%
37.4%
% Of Wasted R / D Votes
34/37
18/50
25/45
34/35
31/36
24/36
28/36
23/36
39.7/30.4
33.6/38.8
Drop-Off Voters
10.5%
2.4%
8.2%
NA
6.3%
5.0%
9.1%
5.0%
11.1%
0%
Avg Margin of Victory
28%
35%
32%
33%
35%
42%
38%
41%
34.8%
30.3%
Votes for (R-D-O%)
50-45-5
54-44-2
50-48-3
47-50-3
46-51-2
47-51-2
46-52-2
42-57-1
42.5-55.6-1.9
49.7-48.3-2
Seats for (R-D-O%)
46-54-0
62-39-0
54-46-0
46-54-0
46-64-0
46-64-0
46-64-0
46-64-0
38.5-61.5-0
46.2-53.8-0
Seat Changes
--
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
Democracy Index
--
--
25.7
27.4
22.6
29.6
20.8
25.6
25.2
29.8
Voter Turnout
50%
34%
47%
30%
48%
31%
57%
38.1%
58.8%
36.5%
Representation Index
31%
22%
30%
19%
31%
21%
38%
25.6%
37.9%
22.8%
Wasted Votes
38%
34%
36%
36%
35%
31%
33%
33.1%
35.6%
37.4%
% Of Wasted R / D Votes
34/37
18/50
25/45
34/35
31/36
24/36
28/36
23/36
39.7/30.4
33.6/38.8
Drop-Off Voters
10.5%
2.4%
8.2%
NA
6.3%
5.0%
9.1%
5.0%
11.1%
0%
Avg Margin of Victory
28%
35%
32%
33%
35%
42%
38%
41%
34.8%
30.3%
Votes for (R-D-O%)
50-45-5
54-44-2
50-48-3
47-50-3
46-51-2
47-51-2
46-52-2
42-57-1
42.5-55.6-1.9
49.7-48.3-2
Seats for (R-D-O%)
46-54-0
62-39-0
54-46-0
46-54-0
46-64-0
46-64-0
46-64-0
46-64-0
38.5-61.5-0
46.2-53.8-0
Seat Changes
--
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
Election Results and Analysis: 2002-2010
|
Results 2002-2010 |
2002 |
2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
|
U.S. House (R-D-O) |
6-7-0 |
6-7-0 |
6-7-0 |
5-8-0 |
6-7-0 |
|
Landslide Index |
92% |
77% |
76.9% |
69.2% |
69.2% |
Scale of Competitiveness |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tight: < 5 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Competitive: 5-10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
|
Opportunity: 10-20 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
Landslide: 20-40 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
|
No Contest: 40+ |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
|
Uncontested |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
Incumbents |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Running / Total Seats |
12/13 |
13/13 |
12/13 |
11/13 |
13/13 |
|
Re-Election / Total Incumbent |
12/12 |
13/13 |
12/12 |
11/11 |
12/13 |
|
Landslide / Total Incumbent |
11/12 |
10/13 |
9/12 |
10/11 |
9/13 |
|
R. Landslide / R. Incumbent |
5/5 |
4/6 |
3/6 |
3/4 |
4/5 |
|
D. Landslide / D. Incumbent |
6/7 |
6/7 |
6/6 |
7/7 |
5/7 |
|
Untouchable Repeat Landslide |
9 |
10 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
|
Uncontested Primary |
9 |
-- |
-- |
10 |
-- |
|
Elected Women |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Elected Racial Minorities |
1B1L |
1B1L |
1B1L |
1B |
1B 1L |
Election Results and Analysis: 1992-2000
|
Results 1992-2000 |
1992 |
1994 |
1996 |
1998 |
2000 |
|
U.S. House (R-D-O) |
6-7-0 |
8-5-0 |
7-6-0 |
6-7-0 |
6-7-0 |
|
Landslide Index |
69% |
92% |
69% |
77% |
77% |
Scale of Competitiveness |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tight: < 5 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Competitive: 5-10 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
|
Opportunity: 10-20 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Landslide: 20-40 |
6 |
7 |
5 |
7 |
7 |
|
No Contest: 40+ |
3 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
|
Uncontested |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Incumbents |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Running / Total Seats |
10/13 |
11/13 |
11/13 |
13/13 |
12/13 |
|
Re-Election / Total Incumbent |
10/10 |
10/11 |
10/11 |
12/13 |
12/12 |
|
Landslide / Total Incumbent |
8/10 |
10/11 |
9/11 |
10/13 |
9/12 |
|
R. Landslide / R. Incumbent |
5/5 |
5/5 |
5/6 |
5/7 |
4/6 |
|
D. Landslide / D. Incumbent |
3/5 |
5/6 |
4/5 |
5/6 |
5/6 |
|
Untouchable Repeat Landslide |
5 |
8 |
9 |
8 |
10 |
|
Uncontested Primary |
5 |
8 |
8 |
10 |
10 |
|
Elected Women |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Elected Racial Minorities |
1B 1L |
1B 1L |
1B1L |
1B1L |
1B1L |
Election Results and Analysis: 1982-1990
|
Results 1982-1990 |
1982 |
1984 |
1986 |
1988 |
1990 |
|
U.S. House (R-D-O) |
5-9-0 |
6-8-0 |
6-8-0 |
6-8-0 |
6-8-0 |
|
Landslide Index |
79% |
79% |
93% |
93% |
64% |
Scale of Competitiveness |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tight: < 5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|
Competitive: 5-10 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
|
Opportunity: 10-20 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
|
Landslide: 20-40 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
|
No Contest: 40+ |
4 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
|
Uncontested |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
Incumbents |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Running / Total Seats |
14/14 |
13/14 |
14/14 |
12/14 |
12/14 |
|
Re-Election / Total Incumbent |
13/14 |
12/13 |
14/14 |
12/12 |
12/12 |
|
Landslide / Total Incumbent |
11/14 |
10/13 |
13/14 |
12/12 |
8/12 |
|
R. Landslide / R. Incumbent |
3/6 |
4/4 |
6/6 |
6/6 |
4/5 |
|
D. Landslide / D. Incumbent |
8/8 |
6/9 |
7/8 |
6/6 |
4/7 |
|
Untouchable Repeat Landslide |
6 |
8 |
11 |
12 |
8 |
|
Uncontested Primary |
13 |
6 |
5 |
11 |
6 |
|
Elected Women |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Elected Racial Minorities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1B |
1B |